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Spatial modeling of the black death in Sweden / Lars Skog in Transactions in GIS, vol 17 n° 4 (August 2013)  

Public [article]  inTransactions in GIS > vol 17 n° 4 (August 2013) . - pp 589 - 611 Titre : Spatial modeling of the black death in Sweden Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Lars Skog, Auteur ; Hans Hauska, Auteur Année de publication : 2013 Article en page(s) : pp 589 - 611 Note générale : Bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications SIG [Termes IGN] analyse diachronique [Termes IGN] analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] carte thématique [Termes IGN] épidémie [Termes IGN] maladie infectieuse [Termes IGN] modélisation spatiale [Termes IGN] quatorzième siècle [Termes IGN] santé [Termes IGN] Suède [Termes IGN] système d'information géographique [Termes IGN] Web Map Service Résumé : (Auteur) The purpose of this work is to determine whether spatial modeling can be used to model the spread of the Black Death. The study is limited to models for the propagation of the disease in Sweden in 1350. Geographic data of Swedish water bodies and medieval road networks, historical data on the population in Swedish parishes, including their medieval boundaries, along with historical notes and disease characteristics, were used to build alternative models for spatial distribution. Three different models are presented: one radial, one cost-based and one combining network analysis and radial propagation. Simulations were made to depict different scenarios on the spread of the disease, as well as the drastic changes in the overall population of Sweden, over a couple of hundred years. For purpose of validation the population decrease estimated in each parish is compared with independent historical documents. Results from model scenarios are visualized in maps of propagation, animated video sequences and a web map service. Our analyses clearly demonstrate the power of spatial analysis and geographic information systems to describe, model and visualize epidemiologic processes in space and time. Numéro de notice : A2013-473 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1111/j.1467-9671.2012.01369.x Date de publication en ligne : 02/01/2013 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9671.2012.01369.x Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=32611 [article]