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Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)  

Public [article]  inClimate Dynamics > vol 60 n° inconnu (2023) Titre : Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2023 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Note générale : bibliographie All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique) [Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique [Termes IGN] orographie [Termes IGN] précipitation [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : A2023-072 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Date de publication en ligne : 29/12/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=102360 [article]

Voir aussi

• Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong (2022)  

Multiscale assimilation of Sentinel and Landsat data for soil moisture and Leaf Area Index predictions using an ensemble-Kalman-filter-based assimilation approach in a heterogeneous ecosystem / Nicola Montaldo in Remote sensing, vol 14 n° 14 (July-2 2022)  

Public [article]  inRemote sensing > vol 14 n° 14 (July-2 2022) . - n° 3458 Titre : Multiscale assimilation of Sentinel and Landsat data for soil moisture and Leaf Area Index predictions using an ensemble-Kalman-filter-based assimilation approach in a heterogeneous ecosystem Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Nicola Montaldo, Auteur ; Andrea Gaspa, Auteur ; Roberto Corona, Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Article en page(s) : n° 3458 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de télédétection [Termes IGN] assimilation des données [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] écosystème [Termes IGN] filtre de Kalman [Termes IGN] humidité du sol [Termes IGN] image Landsat-8 [Termes IGN] image Sentinel-MSI [Termes IGN] image Sentinel-SAR [Termes IGN] Leaf Area Index [Termes IGN] modèle dynamique [Termes IGN] modèle hydrographique [Termes IGN] Sardaigne [Termes IGN] zone semi-aride Résumé : (auteur) Data assimilation techniques allow researchers to optimally merge remote sensing observations in ecohydrological models, guiding them for improving land surface fluxes predictions. Presently, freely available remote sensing products, such as those of Sentinel 1 radar, Landsat 8 sensors, and Sentinel 2 sensors, allow the monitoring of land surface variables (e.g., radar backscatter for soil moisture and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and for leaf area index (LAI)) at unprecedentedly high spatial and time resolutions, appropriate for heterogeneous ecosystems, typical of semiarid ecosystems characterized by contrasting vegetation components (grass and trees) competing for water use. A multiscale assimilation approach that assimilates radar backscatter and grass and tree NDVI in a coupled vegetation dynamic–land surface model is proposed. It is based on the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), and it is not limited to assimilating remote sensing data for model predictions, but it uses assimilated data for dynamically updating key model parameters (the ENKFdc approach), including saturated hydraulic conductivity and grass and tree maintenance respiration coefficients, which are highly sensitive parameters of soil–water balance and biomass budget models, respectively. The proposed EnKFdc assimilation approach facilitated good predictions of soil moisture, grass, and tree LAI in a heterogeneous ecosystem in Sardinia for a 3-year period with contrasting hydrometeorological (dry vs. wet) conditions. Contrary to the EnKF-based approach, the proposed EnKFdc approach performed well for the full range of hydrometeorological conditions and parameters, even assuming extremely biased model conditions with very high or low parameter values compared with the calibrated (“true”) values. The EnKFdc approach is crucial for soil moisture and LAI predictions in winter and spring, key seasons for water resources management in Mediterranean water-limited ecosystems. The use of ENKFdc also enabled us to predict evapotranspiration and carbon flux well, with errors of less than 4% and 15%, respectively; such results were obtained even with extremely biased initial model conditions. Numéro de notice : A2022-574 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : IMAGERIE Nature : Article DOI : 10.3390/rs14143458 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14143458 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101293 [article]

Afforestation with Pinus nigra Arn ssp salzmannii along an elevation gradient: controlling factors and implications for climate change adaptation / Manuel Esteban Lucas-Borja in Trees, vol 36 n° 1 (February 2022)  

Public [article]  inTrees > vol 36 n° 1 (February 2022) . - pp 93 - 102 Titre : Afforestation with Pinus nigra Arn ssp salzmannii along an elevation gradient: controlling factors and implications for climate change adaptation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Manuel Esteban Lucas-Borja, Auteur ; Xin Jing, Auteur ; David Candel-Perez, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Article en page(s) : pp 93 - 102 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] afforestation [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] Espagne [Termes IGN] gradient d'altitude [Termes IGN] mortalité [Termes IGN] Pinus nigra salzmannii [Termes IGN] plantation forestière [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) Spanish black pine (Pinus nigra Arn ssp. salzmannii) is the most widely distributed pine species in mountain areas of the Mediterranean Basin and is commonly used for afforestation in endangered and degraded areas. Despite its importance, little is known regarding the factors driving seedling survival for this species, which may hamper afforestation success in Mediterranean areas. In this study, we assessed the effects of seed origin and plantation site along a natural gradient with contrasting elevation and climatic conditions in a Mediterranean forest in Central-Eastern Spain. Our results showed: (1) higher seedling survival rates when seed origin differed from plantation site (25.3 ± 5.4%) compared to same origin and plantation site (5.3 ± 2.7%); (2) higher survival probability (~ 20%) for high and medium elevation seeds (colder and wetter locations) compared to the warmer and drier low elevation sites (15%); (3) higher seedling survival (~ 40%) at higher elevation sites compared to low-elevation sites ( Numéro de notice : A2021-975 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article DOI : 10.1007/s00468-021-02184-x Date de publication en ligne : 22/07/2021 En ligne : http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00468-021-02184-x Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100418 [article]

Evaluation de méthodes automatisées de cartographie des zones inondables adaptées à la prévision des crues soudaines / Nabil Hocini (2022)  

Public Titre : Evaluation de méthodes automatisées de cartographie des zones inondables adaptées à la prévision des crues soudaines Type de document : Thèse/HDR Auteurs : Nabil Hocini, Auteur ; Eric Gaume, Directeur de thèse Editeur : Nantes : Université de Nantes Année de publication : 2022 Importance : 200 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Note générale : bibliographie Thèse de Doctorat de l'Université de Nantes, Spécialité Sciences de la Terre et de l’Environnement Langues : Français (fre) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Cartographie thématique [Termes IGN] analyse de sensibilité [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] cours d'eau [Termes IGN] crue [Termes IGN] géomorphologie locale [Termes IGN] incertitude des données [Termes IGN] inondation [Termes IGN] jeu de données [Termes IGN] modèle hydrographique [Termes IGN] zone inondable Index. décimale : THESE Thèses et HDR Résumé : (auteur) Les crues soudaines causent d'importants dégâts matériels et humains dans le monde entier. En France, elles frappent fréquemment les petits cours d'eau de la zone méditerranéenne, avec des conséquences souvent catastrophiques. Compte tenu du grand nombre de petits cours d'eau pouvant être touchés, l'utilisation de méthodes de cartographie automatisée des zones inondées peut être d'une grande aide pour l'identification des impacts potentiels de ce type de crues. Ce travail de thèse a permis d’automatiser et de tester trois approches de cartographie des zones inondées, adaptées aux petits cours d'eau, et d'un degré de complexité croissant : HAND/MS, caRtino 1D, et Floodos 2D. Dans un premier temps, ces méthodes ont été comparées à des modélisations expertisées de référence issues de la mise en oeuvre de la directive européenne inondation, sur plusieurs cours d'eau du sud de la France, en reprenant des hypothèses et données d'entrée identiques à ces modélisations de référence. Par la suite, les trois approches ont été évaluées sur leur aptitude à reproduire trois crues majeures récentes, toujours dans le sud de la France, et pour lesquelles de larges jeux de données d’observations des étendues et hauteurs d'inondation sont disponibles. Finalement, cette double évaluation a permis d'identifier certaines limites de l'approche HAND/MS, dont le niveau de simplification peut être à l'origine d'erreurs importantes. La plus-value de l'approche hydrodynamique 2D (Floodos) a également été mise en évidence, notamment dans les situations de plaines inondables très larges. Ces évaluations ont également confirmé la possibilité de cartographier les inondations de façon automatisée sur les petits cours d'eau, avec des niveaux d'erreurs acceptables et des vitesses de calcul adaptées à la couverture de grands domaines spatiaux. Enfin, les principales sources d'erreur subsistantes, comme la qualité des informations topographiques et/ou la connaissance des débits, ont été identifiées, et leurs poids relatif a pu être évalué. Note de contenu : 1- Introduction générale 2- Cartographie adaptée aux petits cours d'eau 3- Méthodologie d'évaluation des outils de cartographie automatisée 4- Evaluation à partir de cartographies de référence expertisées 5- Evaluation à partir d'inondations réellement observées 6- Analyse de sensibilité aux principales sources d'incertitudes 7- Conclusion générale et perspectives Numéro de notice : 15270 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE Nature : Thèse étrangère Note de thèse : Thèse de Doctorat : Sciences de la Terre et de l’Environnement : Nantes : 2022 Organisme de stage : Laboratoire GERS-EE DOI : sans En ligne : http://www.theses.fr/2022NANT4015 Format de la ressource électronique : URL Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100772

Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong (2022)  

Public Titre : Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Marjolaine Chiriaco, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Editeur : Research Square Année de publication : 2022 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Importance : 1 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Note générale : bibliographie All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique) [Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique [Termes IGN] orographie [Termes IGN] précipitation [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional Climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : P2022-003 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Preprint nature-HAL : Préprint DOI : 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Date de publication en ligne : 25/02/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100754

Voir aussi

• Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)  

A repeatable change detection approach to map extreme storm-related damages caused by intense surface runoff based on optical and SAR remote sensing: Evidence from three case studies in the South of France / Arnaud Cerbelaud in ISPRS Journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing, Vol 182 (December 2021)  

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Assessing the accuracy of remotely sensed fire datasets across the southwestern Mediterranean Basin / Luis Felipe Galizia in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol 21 n° 1 (January 2021)  

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Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: what explains the differences? / Minh Ha-Truong (2021)  

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Comparison of tree-based classification algorithms in mapping burned forest areas / Dilek Kucuk Matci in Geodetski vestnik, vol 64 n° 3 (September - November 2020)  

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The "Incense Road" from Petra to Gaza: an analysis using GIS and Cost functions / Motti Zohar in International journal of geographical information science IJGIS, vol 34 n° 2 (February 2020)  

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Analyzing the recent dynamics of wildland fires in Quercus suber L. woodlands in Sardinia (Italy), Corsica (France) and Catalonia (Spain) / Michele Salis in European Journal of Forest Research, vol 138 n° 3 (June 2019)  

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Impact of humidity biases on light precipitation occurrence: observations versus simulations / Sophie Bastin in Atmospheric chemistry and physics, vol 19 n° 3 (February 2019)  

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Polarimetric radar vegetation index for biomass estimation in desert fringe ecosystems / Jisung Geba Chang in IEEE Transactions on geoscience and remote sensing, vol 56 n° 12 (December 2018)  

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Live fuel moisture content (LFMC) time series for multiple sites and species in the French Mediterranean area since 1996 / N. Martin-St Paul in Annals of Forest Science, vol 75 n° 2 (June 2018)  

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Recent growth trends of black pine (Pinus nigra J.F. Arnold) in the eastern mediterranean / Ellen Janssen in Forest ecology and management, vol 412 (15 March 2018)  

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