Centre de documentation
scientifique

Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)  

Public [article]  inClimate Dynamics > vol 60 n° inconnu (2023) Titre : Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2023 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Note générale : bibliographie All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique) [Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique [Termes IGN] orographie [Termes IGN] précipitation [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : A2023-072 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Date de publication en ligne : 29/12/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=102360 [article]

Voir aussi

• Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong (2022)  

Dense mantle flows periodically spaced below ocean basins / Isabelle Panet in Earth and planetary science letters, vol 594 (15 September 2022)  

Public [article]  inEarth and planetary science letters > vol 594 (15 September 2022) . - n° 117745 Titre : Dense mantle flows periodically spaced below ocean basins Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Isabelle Panet , Auteur ; Marianne Greff-Lefftz, Auteur ; Barbara Romanowicz, Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Projets : Université de Paris / Clerici, Christine Article en page(s) : n° 117745 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Géodésie physique [Termes IGN] champ de pesanteur terrestre [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] déformation de la croute terrestre [Termes IGN] dynamique des fluides [Termes IGN] fond marin [Termes IGN] Indien (océan) [Termes IGN] lithosphère [Termes IGN] manteau terrestre [Termes IGN] Pacifique (océan) Résumé : (auteur) Understanding mantle flow is key to elucidate how deep Earth dynamics relate to tectonics at the global scale. The convective mass transport is reflected in lateral variations of the gravity field, seismic velocities, as well as deformations of the Earth's surface. Yet, upper to mid-mantle dynamics have been difficult to constrain at the medium scales of thousands of km. Here, we analyze the second-order horizontal derivatives of seafloor topography and of the gravity potential over the Pacific and Northern Indian ocean basins, and provide evidence for periodic undulations of 1600-2000 km wavelength in both signals, elongated along the direction of absolute plate motion. We investigate potential crustal and lithospheric sources and show that at least part of this signal must originate below the lithosphere, with alignments of sub-lithospheric upper mantle mass excess below seafloor lows. Furthermore, we find that these alignments coincide geographically over wide areas with similarly periodic slow seismic velocity fingers located at upper mantle depths. These two fields may thus record an intermediate scale of mantle convection below ocean basins, which cannot be explained by purely thermal convection and requires instead lateral variations in composition in the upper mantle. Elucidating the nature of the detected mass excess sources coincident with the slow seismic velocities calls for a joint dynamical modeling of all observations in a thermo-chemical context. Numéro de notice : A2022-692 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117745 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117745 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101809 [article]

Contraintes observationnelles historiques sur la sensibilité climatique : implications pour les projections de la hausse du niveau de la mer / Jonathan Chenal (2022)  

Public Titre : Contraintes observationnelles historiques sur la sensibilité climatique : implications pour les projections de la hausse du niveau de la mer Type de document : Thèse/HDR Auteurs : Jonathan Chenal , Auteur ; Benoit Meyssignac, Directeur de thèse Editeur : Toulouse : Université de Toulouse 3 Paul Sabatier Année de publication : 2022 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Français (fre) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] chaleur [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] dioxyde de carbone [Termes IGN] erreur systématique [Termes IGN] montée du niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] régression linéaire [Termes IGN] série temporelle [Termes IGN] température de surface de la mer Index. décimale : THESE Thèses et HDR Résumé : (auteur) Ma thèse explore l'estimation observationnelle de la sensibilité climatique d'équilibre (ECS) à partir des données instrumentales historiques et récentes, en particulier spatiales. L'ECS est la température globale moyenne de surface de la Terre atteinte après un doublement instantané de la concentration de dioxyde de carbone atmosphérique par rapport à la concentration préindustrielle. Cette quantité est la métrique fondamentale de l'amplitude du changement climatique contemporain, car l'évolution actuelle et future de nombreuses variables du système climatique, comme la température ou l'expansion thermique de l'océan, lui est fortement corrélée. L'ECS demeure cependant mal connue, puisque depuis le rapport Charney de 1979 jusqu'au Cinquième rapport d'évaluation du Groupe intergouvernemental d'experts sur le climat (GIEC), sa plage de valeurs probables se situait entre 1,5 et 4,5 degrés, avec un biais marqué entre estimations instrumentales, qui se situent dans la partie basse de l'intervalle, et estimations issues des modèles de climat, qui se situent dans la partie haute de l'intervalle. La cause principale de cette dispersion réside dans le fait que la sensibilité climatique varie avec le temps, en lien notamment avec l'effet radiatif des structures spatiales du réchauffement de surface, qui peuvent changer au cours du temps du fait de la variabilité interne du climat ou des variations historiques dans le type de forçage. Ma thèse utilise des séries temporelles observationnelles récentes de contenu de chaleur de l'océan et de température de surface, et une reconstruction récente de forçage radiatif, pour estimer le paramètre de rétroaction climatique, puis l'ECS, par régression linéaire de l'équation du bilan d'énergie planétaire. Dans ce processus, je prends en compte toutes les sources d'erreur et je les propage dans la régression afin d'obtenir une description exhaustive de l'incertitude observationnelle associée à l'ECS. Par ailleurs, j'utilise les variations temporelles du paramètre de rétroaction climatique simulées par les modèles de climat pour évaluer les biais et incertitudes associés à ce paramètre et dus à la structure spatiale du réchauffement historique. Sur la base du bilan d'énergie ainsi résolu sur 1971-2017, je démontre qu'il est très peu probable (p Numéro de notice : 17769 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Thèse française Organisme de stage : Laboratoire d'Etudes en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales LEGOS nature-HAL : Thèse DOI : sans En ligne : http://thesesups.ups-tlse.fr/5598/ Format de la ressource électronique : URL Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=103338

Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong (2022)  

Public Titre : Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Marjolaine Chiriaco, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Editeur : Research Square Année de publication : 2022 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Clerici, Christine Importance : 1 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Note générale : bibliographie All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique) [Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique [Termes IGN] orographie [Termes IGN] précipitation [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional Climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : P2022-003 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Preprint nature-HAL : Préprint DOI : 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Date de publication en ligne : 25/02/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100754

Voir aussi

• Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)  

Modelling the impact of climate change on the occurrence of frost damage in Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis) in Great Britain / A.A. Atucha-Zamkova in Forestry, an international journal of forest research, vol 94 n° 5 (December 2021)  

Public [article]  inForestry, an international journal of forest research > vol 94 n° 5 (December 2021) . - p 664 - 676 Titre : Modelling the impact of climate change on the occurrence of frost damage in Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis) in Great Britain Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : A.A. Atucha-Zamkova, Auteur ; K.A. Steele, Auteur ; A.R. Smith, Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : p 664 - 676 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] cycle climatique [Termes IGN] gelée [Termes IGN] Grande-Bretagne [Termes IGN] historique des données [Termes IGN] modèle de simulation [Termes IGN] phénologie [Termes IGN] Picea sitchensis [Termes IGN] température [Termes IGN] variation saisonnière [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) Climate change is predicted to increase temperature and seasonal temperature variance in Great Britain (GB). Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis (Bong.) Carr) is the most important tree species used in commercial plantations throughout Europe and GB. Frosts that occur outside the winter dormancy period can negatively affect trees, since they happen after dehardening. Damage can be especially severe at bud burst, before emerging needles mature and form protective barriers. Here, we modelled the impact of climate change on frost sensitivity in Sitka spruce with temperature data from five climate projections. The UKCP09 climate model HadRm3 uses emission scenario SRESA1B for the years 2020–2099. The global and downscaled versions of the UKCP18 HadGem3 model use the emissions scenario RCP 8.5. The global model CMCC-CM uses the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 emissions scenarios. The predictions based on these models were compared with results from gridded historical data for the period 1960–2015. Three indicators that assessed the frost sensitivity of Sitka spruce were explored: the total number of frosts between the onset of dehardening and the end of summer, which use three different temperature thresholds (Index 10°C, 1–3°C, 1–5°C); the total number of frosts after bud burst (Index 2); the number of days with minimum temperatures below the resistance level (backlashes) during the hardening–dehardening period (September–August) (Index 3). The indices were validated with historical data for frost damage across GB, and Index 1–3°C, Index 1–5°C and Index 3 were shown to be significantly correlated. The frequency of all frosts and backlashes is expected to decrease with climate change, especially under higher emissions scenarios. Post-bud burst frosts have been historically very rare in GB and remain so with climate change. Downscaled regional climate models detect geographic variability within GB and improve prediction of overall trends in frost damage in comparison to global climate change models for GB. Numéro de notice : A2021-825 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article DOI : 10.1093/forestry/cpab020 Date de publication en ligne : 17/05/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1093/forestry/cpab020 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=98944 [article]

La campagne Caddiwa dans la région des îles du Cap-Vert / Cyrille Flamant in La Météorologie, n° 115 (2021)  

Permalink

Growth recovery and phenological responses of juvenile beech (fagus sylvatica L.) exposed to spring warming and late spring frost / Kristine Vander Mijnsbrugge in Forests, vol 12 n° 11 (November 2021)  

Permalink

Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) methods implemented as ArcMap models with remote-sensed and ground-based inputs, examined along with MODIS ET, for Peloponnese, Greece / Stavroula Dimitriadou in ISPRS International journal of geo-information, vol 10 n° 6 (June 2021)  

Permalink

Mixture effect on radial stem and shoot growth differs and varies with temperature / Maude Toïgo in Forest ecology and management, vol 488 (May-15 2021)  

Permalink

Climate variability and change in the 21th Century / Stefanos Stefanidis (2021)  

Permalink

Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: what explains the differences? / Minh Ha-Truong (2021)  

Permalink

Resilient urban futures / Zoé A. Hamstead (2021)  

Permalink

Calibration of frequency shift system of wind imaging interferometer / Yongqiang Sun in Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing, PERS, vol 86 n° 12 (December 2020)  

Permalink

The construction of sound speed field based on back propagation neural network in the global ocean / Junting Wang in Marine geodesy, vol 43 n° 6 (November 2020)  

Permalink

Using climate-sensitive 3D city modeling to analyze outdoor thermal comfort in urban areas / Rabeeh Hosseinihaghighi in ISPRS International journal of geo-information, vol 9 n° 11 (November 2020)  

Permalink