Centre de documentation
scientifique

Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)  

Public [article]  inClimate Dynamics > vol 60 n° inconnu (2023) Titre : Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2023 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Note générale : bibliographie All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique) [Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique [Termes IGN] orographie [Termes IGN] précipitation [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : A2023-072 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Date de publication en ligne : 29/12/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=102360 [article]

Voir aussi

• Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong (2022)  

GNSSseg, a statistical method for the segmentation of daily GNSS IWV time series / Annarosa Quarello in Remote sensing, vol 14 n° 14 (July-2 2022)  

Public [article]  inRemote sensing > vol 14 n° 14 (July-2 2022) . - n° 3379 Titre : GNSSseg, a statistical method for the segmentation of daily GNSS IWV time series Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Annarosa Quarello , Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; Emilie Lebarbier, Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Projets : VEGAN / Bock, Olivier Article en page(s) : n° 3379 Note générale : bibliographie This work was developed in the framework of the VEGA Project and supported by the CNRS Program LEFE/INSU. The contribution of the third author has been conducted as part of the Project Labex MME-DII (ANR11-LBX-0023-01) and within the FP2M Federation (CNRS FR 2036). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] coordonnées GPS [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] erreur systématique [Termes IGN] programmation dynamique [Termes IGN] R (langage) [Termes IGN] segmentation [Termes IGN] série temporelle [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Homogenization is an important and crucial step to improve the usage of observational data for climate analysis. This work is motivated by the analysis of long series of GNSS Integrated Water Vapour (IWV) data, which have not yet been used in this context. This paper proposes a novel segmentation method called segfunc that integrates a periodic bias and a heterogeneous, monthly varying, variance. The method consists in estimating first the variance using a robust estimator and then estimating the segmentation and periodic bias iteratively. This strategy allows for the use of the dynamic programming algorithm, which is the most efficient exact algorithm to estimate the change point positions. The performance of the method is assessed through numerical simulation experiments. It is implemented in the R package GNSSseg, which is available on the CRAN. This paper presents the application of the method to a real data set from a global network of 120 GNSS stations. A hit rate of 32% is achieved with respect to available metadata. The final segmentation is made in a semi-automatic way, where the change points detected by three different penalty criteria are manually selected. In this case, the hit rate reaches 60% with respect to the metadata. Numéro de notice : A2022-575 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.3390/rs14143379 Date de publication en ligne : 13/07/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.3390/rs14143379 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101294 [article]

An improved vertical correction method for the inter-comparison and inter-validation of Integrated Water Vapour measurements [under review] / Olivier Bock in Atmospheric measurement techniques, vol 15 n° 19 ([01/04/2022])  

Public [article]  inAtmospheric measurement techniques > vol 15 n° 19 [01/04/2022] . - pp 5643 - 5665 Titre : An improved vertical correction method for the inter-comparison and inter-validation of Integrated Water Vapour measurements [under review] Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Olivier Bock , Auteur ; Pierre Bosser , Auteur ; Carl Mears, Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Projets : VEGAN / Bock, Olivier Article en page(s) : pp 5643 - 5665 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] analyse comparative [Termes IGN] correction des altitudes [Termes IGN] données GPS [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] erreur systématique [Termes IGN] montagne [Termes IGN] régression multiple [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau [Termes IGN] zone intertropicale Résumé : (auteur) Integrated Water Vapour (IWV) measurements from similar or different techniques are often inter-compared for calibration and validation purposes. Results are usually assessed in terms of bias (difference of the means), standard deviation of the differences, and linear fit slope and offset (intercept) estimates. When the instruments are located at different elevations, a correction must be applied to account for the vertical displacement between the sites. Empirical formulations are traditionally used for this correction. In this paper, we show that the widely-used correction model based on a standard, exponential, profile for water vapour cannot properly correct the bias, slope, and offset parameters simultaneously. Correcting the bias with this model degrades the slope and offset estimates, and vice-versa. This paper proposes an improved correction model which overcomes these limitations. The model uses a multi-linear regression of slope and offset parameters from a radiosonde climatology. It is able to predict monthly parameters with a root-mean-square error smaller than 0.5 kg m-2 for height differences up to 500 m. The method is applied to the inter-comparison of GPS IWV data in a tropical mountainous area and to the inter-validation of GPS and satellite microwave radiometer data. This paper also emphasizes the need for using a slope and offset regression method that accounts for errors in both variables and for correctly specifying these errors. Numéro de notice : A2022-327 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.5194/amt-15-5643-2022 Date de publication en ligne : 21/04/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-15-5643-2022 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100492 [article]

A new method for the attribution of breakpoints in segmentation of IWV difference time series / Khanh Ninh Nguyen (2022)  

Public Titre : A new method for the attribution of breakpoints in segmentation of IWV difference time series Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Khanh Ninh Nguyen, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; Emilie Lebarbier, Auteur Editeur : Munich [Allemagne] : European Geosciences Union EGU Année de publication : 2022 Conférence : EGU 2022, General Assembly 23/05/2022 27/05/2022 Vienne Autriche OA Abstracts only Importance : 1 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] données GNSS [Termes IGN] points de rupture [Termes IGN] segmentation [Termes IGN] série temporelle [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) In recent years, the detection and correction of the non-natural irregularities in the long climatic records, so-called homogenization, has been studied. This work is motivated by the problem of identification of origins of the breakpoints in the segmentation of difference series (difference between a candidate series and a reference series). Several segmentation methods have been developed for the difference series, but many of them assume that the reference series is homogenous. However, the homogeneity of the reference series, in reality, is uncertain and unproven. In our study, we applied the segmentation method GNSSseg (Quarello et al., 2020) on the difference between the Integrated water vapour estimates of the CODE REPRO2015 GNSS data set and the ERA5 reanalysis. About 36.5% of change points can be validated from the GPS metadata, and the origins of the remaining 64.5% are questionable (Nguyen et al., 2021). The ambiguity can be leveraged when there is at least one nearby GPS station with respect to which the candidate series can be compared. The proposed method uses weighted t-tests combining the candidate GPS and ERA series and their homologues (denoted GPS' and ERA') from each nearby station. If sufficient consistency emerges from the six tests for all the nearby stations, a decision can be made whether the breakpoint detected in the candidate GPS-ERA series is due to GPS or, alternatively, to ERA. For each quadruplet (GPS, ERA, GPS', ERA'), six t-tests are performed, and the outcomes are combined. In a set of 81 globally distributed GNSS time series spanning more than 25 years, 56 series have at least one nearby station, where 171 breakpoints are detected in segmentation, in which 136 breakpoints are attributed to the GPS. Among those, 94 breakpoints have consistent results between all the nearby stations. GPS-related breakpoints are used for the correction of the mean shift in the difference series. The impact of the breakpoint correction on the GNSS IWV trend estimates is then evaluated. Numéro de notice : C2022-009 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Communication nature-HAL : ComSansActesPubliés-Unpublished DOI : 10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6390 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6390 Format de la ressource électronique : URL Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100713

Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong (2022)  

Public Titre : Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Marjolaine Chiriaco, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Editeur : Research Square Année de publication : 2022 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Bock, Olivier Importance : 1 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Note générale : bibliographie All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale [Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen [Termes IGN] convection [Termes IGN] données météorologiques [Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique) [Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique [Termes IGN] orographie [Termes IGN] précipitation [Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eau Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional Climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : P2022-003 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Preprint nature-HAL : Préprint DOI : 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Date de publication en ligne : 25/02/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100754

Voir aussi

• Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)  

Sensitivity of change-point detection and trend estimates to GNSS IWV time series properties / Khanh Ninh Nguyen in Atmosphere, vol 12 n° 9 (September 2021)  

Permalink

Integrated water vapour observations in the Caribbean arc from a network of ground-based GNSS receivers during EUREC4A / Olivier Bock in Earth System Science Data, vol 13 n° 5 (May 2021)  

Permalink

Integrated water vapour content retrievals from ship-borne GNSS receivers during EUREC4A / Pierre Bosser in Earth System Science Data, vol 13 n° 4 (April 2021)  

Permalink

IWV retrieval from ground GNSS receivers during NAWDEX / Pierre Bosser in Advances in geosciences, vol 55 ([01/02/2021])  

Permalink

Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: what explains the differences? / Minh Ha-Truong (2021)  

Permalink

Sensitivity of segmentation of GNSS IWV time series and trend estimates to data properties / Khanh Ninh Nguyen (2021)  

Permalink

Homogenizing GPS integrated water vapor time series: Benchmarking break detection methods on synthetic data sets / Roeland Van Malderen in Earth and space science, vol 7 n° 5 (May 2020)  

Permalink

Advanced GNSS tropospheric products for monitoring severe weather events and climate, ch. 5. Use of GNSS Tropospheric Products for Climate Monitoring (Working Group 3) / Olivier Bock (2020)  

Permalink

Development of new homogenisation methods for GNSS atmospheric data. Application to the analysis of climate trends and variability / Annarosa Quarello (2020)  

Permalink

Étude de la vapeur d’eau atmosphérique à partir de données GNSS dans le bassin sud-ouest de l’océan Indien et applications à l’étude du climat et des cyclones tropicaux / Edouard Lees (2020)  

Permalink