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Auteur Philippe Drobinski |
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Affiner la recherche Interroger des sources externesPrecipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation / Minh Ha-Truong in Climate Dynamics, vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)
Titre : Precipitation frequency in Med-CORDEX and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convection-permitting resolution: impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock Année de publication : 2023 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Note générale : bibliographie
All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613).Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale
[Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen
[Termes IGN] convection
[Termes IGN] données météorologiques
[Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique)
[Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique
[Termes IGN] orographie
[Termes IGN] précipitation
[Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eauRésumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : A2023-072 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Date de publication en ligne : 29/12/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06594-6 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=102360
in Climate Dynamics > vol 60 n° inconnu (2023)[article]
Titre : Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: Impact of model resolution and convection representation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Marjolaine Chiriaco, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock Editeur : Research Square Année de publication : 2022 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Importance : 1 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Note générale : bibliographie
All authors gratefully acknowledge the WCRP-CORDEX-FPS on Convective phenomena at high resolution over Europe and the Mediterranean (FPSCONVALP- 3) and the research data exchange infrastructure and services provided by the Jülich Supercomputing Centre, Germany, as part of the Helmholtz Data Federation initiative. To process the data, this study benefited from the IPSL mesocenter ESPRI facility which is supported by CNRS, UPMC, Labex L-IPSL, CNES and EcolePolytechnique, and received funding from the HORIZON 2020 EUCP (European Climate Prediction System) project (https://www.eucp-project.eu, grant agreement No. 776613).Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale
[Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen
[Termes IGN] convection
[Termes IGN] données météorologiques
[Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique)
[Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique
[Termes IGN] orographie
[Termes IGN] précipitation
[Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eauRésumé : (auteur) Recent studies using convection-permitting (CP) climate simulations have demonstrated a step-change in the representation of heavy rainfall and rainfall characteristics (frequency-intensity) compared to coarser resolution Global and Regional Climate models. The goal of this study is to better understand what explains the weaker frequency of precipitation in the CP ensemble by assessing the triggering process of precipitation in the different ensembles of regional climate simulations available over Europe. We focus on the statistical relationship between tropospheric temperature, humidity and precipitation to understand how the frequency of precipitation over Europe and the Mediterranean is impacted by model resolution and the representation of convection (parameterized vs. explicit). We employ a multi-model data-set with three different resolutions (0.44°, 0.11° and 0.0275°) produced in the context of the MED-CORDEX, EURO-CORDEX and the CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study "Convective Phenomena over Europe and the Mediterranean" (FPSCONV). The multi-variate approach is applied to all model ensembles, and to several surface stations where the integrated water vapor (IWV) is derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements. The results show that all model ensembles capture the temperature dependence of the critical value of IWV (IWVcv), above which an increase in precipitation frequency occurs, but the differences between the models in terms of the value of IWVcv, and the probability of its being exceeded, can be large at higher temperatures. The lower frequency of precipitation in convection-permitting simulations is not only explained by higher temperatures but also by a higher IWVcv necessary to trigger precipitation at similar temperatures, and a lower probability to exceed this critical value. The spread between models in simulating IWVcv and the probability of exceeding IWVcv is reduced over land in the ensemble of models with explicit convection, especially at high temperatures, when the convective fraction of total precipitation becomes more important and the influence of the representation of entrainment in models thus becomes more important. Over lowlands, both model resolution and convection representation affect precipitation triggering while over mountainous areas, resolution has the highest impact due to orography-induced triggering processes. Over the sea, since lifting is produced by large-scale convergence, the probability to exceed IWVcv does not depend on temperature, and the model resolution does not have a clear impact on the results. Numéro de notice : P2022-003 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Preprint nature-HAL : Préprint DOI : 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Date de publication en ligne : 25/02/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1397006/v1 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100754
Titre : Precipitation frequency in MED and EURO-CORDEX ensembles from 0.44° to convective permitting resolution: what explains the differences? Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Minh Ha-Truong, Auteur ; Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Lluis Fita, Auteur ; Marjolaine Chiriaco, Auteur ; Jan Polcher, Auteur ; Olivier Bock Editeur : Munich [Allemagne] : European Geosciences Union EGU Année de publication : 2021 Conférence : EGU 2021, General Assembly 19/04/2021 30/04/2021 en ligne OA Abstracts only Importance : 1 p. Format : 21 x 30 cm Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale
[Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen
[Termes IGN] convection
[Termes IGN] données météorologiques
[Termes IGN] Europe (géographie politique)
[Termes IGN] modèle atmosphérique
[Termes IGN] orographie
[Termes IGN] précipitation
[Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eauNuméro de notice : C2021-001 Affiliation des auteurs : UMR IPGP-Géod+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Communication nature-HAL : ComSansActesPubliés-Unpublished DOI : sans En ligne : https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU21/EGU21-8843.html Format de la ressource électronique : URL Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=97582
Titre : Impact of humidity biases on light precipitation occurrence: observations versus simulations Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Sophie Bastin, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Marjolaine Chiriaco, Auteur ; Olivier Bock Année de publication : 2019 Projets : HyMeX / Richard, Evelyne Article en page(s) : pp 1471 - 1490 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale
[Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen
[Termes IGN] données GPS
[Termes IGN] données météorologiques
[Termes IGN] erreur systématique
[Termes IGN] précipitation
[Termes IGN] température de l'air
[Termes IGN] teneur intégrée en vapeur d'eauRésumé : (auteur) This work uses a network of GPS stations over Europe from which a homogenized integrated water vapor (IWV) dataset has been retrieved, completed with colocated temperature and precipitation measurements over specific stations to (i) estimate the biases of six regional climate models over Europe in terms of humidity; (ii) understand their origins; and (iii) finally assess the impact of these biases on the frequency of occurrence of precipitation. The evaluated simulations have been performed in the framework of HYMEX/Med-CORDEX programs and cover the Mediterranean area and part of Europe at horizontal resolutions of 50 to 12 km.
The analysis shows that models tend to overestimate the low values of IWV and the use of the nudging technique reduces the differences between GPS and simulated IWV. Results suggest that physics of models mostly explain the mean biases, while dynamics affects the variability. The land surface–atmosphere exchanges affect the estimation of IWV over most part of Europe, especially in summer. The limitations of the models to represent these processes explain part of their biases in IWV. However, models correctly simulate the dependance between IWV and temperature, and specifically the deviation that this relationship experiences regarding the Clausius–Clapeyron law after a critical value of temperature (Tbreak). The high spatial variability of Tbreak indicates that it has a strong dependence on local processes which drive the local humidity sources. This explains why the maximum values of IWV are not necessarily observed over warmer areas, which are often dry areas.
Finally, it is shown over the SIRTA observatory (near Paris) that the frequency of occurrence of light precipitation is strongly conditioned by the biases in IWV and by the precision of the models to reproduce the distribution of IWV as a function of the temperature. The results of the models indicate that a similar dependence occurs in other areas of Europe, especially where precipitation has a predominantly convective character. According to the observations, for each range of temperature, there is a critical value of IWV from which precipitation starts to increase. The critical values and the probability of exceeding them are simulated with a bias that depends on the model. Those models, which generally present light precipitation too often, show lower critical values and higher probability of exceeding them.Numéro de notice : A2019-277 Affiliation des auteurs : Géodésie+Ext (mi2018-2019) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.5194/acp-19-1471-2019 Date de publication en ligne : 04/02/2019 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-19-1471-2019 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=95383
in Atmospheric chemistry and physics > vol 19 n° 3 (February 2019) . - pp 1471 - 1490[article]
Titre : A seamless weather–climate multi‐model intercomparison on the representation of a high impact weather event in the western Mediterranean: HyMeX IOP12 Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Samiro Khodayar, Auteur ; G. Fosser, Auteur ; S. Berthou, Auteur ; Silvio Davolio, Auteur ; Philippe Drobinski, Auteur ; Véronique Ducrocq, Auteur ; Rossella Ferretti, Auteur ; Mathieu Nuret, Auteur ; E. Pichelli, Auteur ; Evelyne Richard, Auteur ; Olivier Bock Année de publication : 2016 Projets : HyMeX / Richard, Evelyne Article en page(s) : pp 433 - 452 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Applications de géodésie spatiale
[Termes IGN] analyse comparative
[Termes IGN] bassin méditerranéen
[Termes IGN] climat méditerranéen
[Termes IGN] convection
[Termes IGN] distribution spatiale
[Termes IGN] données météorologiques
[Termes IGN] humidité de l'air
[Termes IGN] modèle météorologique
[Termes IGN] précipitation
[Termes IGN] vapeur d'eau
[Termes IGN] variabilitéRésumé : (auteur) High Impact Weather (HIW), particularly Heavy Precipitation Events (HPE), are common phenomena affecting the western Mediterranean (WMED) especially in the autumn period. Understanding and evaluating the capability to adequately represent such events in model simulations is one of the main goals of the Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean Experiment (HyMeX) and the main motivation of this investigation.
In order to gain a better knowledge of the model representation of HPE and related processes we perform a seamless multi‐model intercomparison at the event scale. Limited‐area model runs (grid spacing from 2 to 20 km) at weather and climate time‐scales are considered, four with parametrized and five with explicit convection. The performance of the nine models is compared by analysing precipitation, as well as convection‐relevant parameters. An Intensive Observation Period (IOP12) from the HyMeX‐SOP1 (Special Observation Period) is used to illustrate the results. During IOP12, HPE affected the northwestern Mediterranean region, from Spain to Italy, as a consequence of Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) which initiated and intensified in the area of investigation. Results show that: (i) the timing of the maximum precipitation seems to be linked to the representation of large‐scale conditions rather than differences among models; (ii) Convection Permitting Models (CPMs) exhibit differences among each other, but better represent the short‐intense convective events. All four convection‐parametrized models produce a large number of weak and long‐lasting events. Regional Climate Models (RCMs) capture the occurrence of the event but produce notably lower precipitation amounts and hourly intensities than CPMs and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models with parametrized convection; (iii) these differences do not seem to come from mean moisture or Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) which are in the same range for all models, but rather from differences in the variability and vertical distribution of moisture and the triggering of deep convection.Numéro de notice : A2016--174 Affiliation des auteurs : LASTIG LAREG+Ext (2012-mi2018) Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1002/qj.2700 Date de publication en ligne : 29/10/2015 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2700 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=91787
in Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society > vol 142 n° S1 (August 2016) . - pp 433 - 452[article]
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