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Fusing tree‐ring and forest inventory data to infer influences on tree growth / Margaret E.K. Evans in Ecosphere, vol 8 n° 7 (July 2017)  

Public [article]  inEcosphere > vol 8 n° 7 (July 2017) Titre : Fusing tree‐ring and forest inventory data to infer influences on tree growth Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Margaret E.K. Evans, Auteur ; Donald A. Falk, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2017 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] classification bayesienne [Termes IGN] croissance des arbres [Termes IGN] dendrochronologie [Termes IGN] inférence statistique [Termes IGN] inventaire forestier étranger (données) [Termes IGN] modèle statistique [Termes IGN] montagne [Termes IGN] Nouveau-Mexique (Etats-Unis) [Termes IGN] régression multiple [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) Better understanding and prediction of tree growth is important because of the many ecosystem services provided by forests and the uncertainty surrounding how forests will respond to anthropogenic climate change. With the ultimate goal of improving models of forest dynamics, here we construct a statistical model that combines complementary data sources, tree‐ring and forest inventory data. A Bayesian hierarchical model was used to gain inference on the effects of many factors on tree growth—individual tree size, climate, biophysical conditions, stand‐level competitive environment, tree‐level canopy status, and forest management treatments—using both diameter at breast height (dbh) and tree‐ring data. The model consists of two multiple regression models, one each for the two data sources, linked via a constant of proportionality between coefficients that are found in parallel in the two regressions. This model was applied to a data set of ~130 increment cores and ~500 repeat measurements of dbh at a single site in the Jemez Mountains of north‐central New Mexico, USA. The tree‐ring data serve as the only source of information on how annual growth responds to climate variation, whereas both data types inform non‐climatic effects on growth. Inferences from the model included positive effects on growth of seasonal precipitation, wetness index, and height ratio, and negative effects of dbh, seasonal temperature, southerly aspect and radiation, and plot basal area. Climatic effects inferred by the model were confirmed by a dendroclimatic analysis. Combining the two data sources substantially reduced uncertainty about non‐climate fixed effects on radial increments. This demonstrates that forest inventory data measured on many trees, combined with tree‐ring data developed for a small number of trees, can be used to quantify and parse multiple influences on absolute tree growth. We highlight the kinds of research questions that can be addressed by combining the high‐resolution information on climate effects contained in tree rings with the rich tree‐ and stand‐level information found in forest inventories, including projection of tree growth under future climate scenarios, carbon accounting, and investigation of management actions aimed at increasing forest resilience. Numéro de notice : A2017-907 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article DOI : 10.1002/ecs2.1889 Date de publication en ligne : 24/07/2017 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1889 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=93405 [article]