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Detrending climate data prior to climate–growth analyses in dendroecology: a common best practice? / Clémentine Ols in Dendrochronologia, vol inconnu (2023)  

Public [article]  inDendrochronologia > vol inconnu (2023) . - n° 126094 Titre : Detrending climate data prior to climate–growth analyses in dendroecology: a common best practice? Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; Stefan Klesse, Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Margaret E.K. Evans, Auteur ; R. Justin DeRose, Auteur ; Valérie Trouet, Auteur Année de publication : 2023 Article en page(s) : n° 126094 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] cerne [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] croissance végétale [Termes IGN] dendrochronologie [Termes IGN] série temporelle [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) Tree growth varies closely with high–frequency climate variability. Since the 1930s detrending climate data prior to comparing them with tree growth data has been shown to better capture tree growth sensitivity to climate. However, in a context of increasingly pronounced trends in climate, this practice remains surprisingly rare in dendroecology. In a review of Dendrochronologia over the 2018-2021 period, we found that less than 20% of dendroecological studies detrended climate data prior to climate-growth analyses. With an illustrative study, we want to remind the dendroecology community that such a procedure is still, if not more than ever, rational and relevant. We investigated the effects of detrending climate data on climate–growth relationships across North America over the 1951–2000 period. We used a network of 2,536 tree individual ring-width series from the Canadian and Western US forest inventories. We compared correlations between tree growth and seasonal climate data (Tmin, Tmax, Prec) both raw and detrended. Detrending approaches included a linear regression, 30-yr and 100-yr cubic smoothing splines. Our results indicate that on average the detrending of climate data increased climate–growth correlations. In addition, we observed that strong trends in climate data translated to higher variability in inferred correlations based on raw vs. detrended climate data. We provide further evidence that our results hold true for the entire spectrum of dendroecological studies using either mean site chronologies and correlations coefficients, or individual tree time series within a mixed-effects model framework where regression coefficients are used more commonly. We show that even without a change in correlation, regression coefficients can change a lot and we tend to underestimate the true climate impact on growth in case of climate variables containing trends. This study demonstrates that treating climate and tree-ring time series “like-for-like” is a necessary procedure to reduce false negatives and positives in dendroecological studies. Concluding, we recommend using the same detrending for climate and tree growth data when tree-ring time series are detrended with splines or similar frequency-based filters. Numéro de notice : A2023-092 Affiliation des auteurs : IGN+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1016/j.dendro.2023.126094 Date de publication en ligne : 05/05/2023 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2023.126094 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=103182 [article]

Adding tree rings to North America's national forest inventories: An essential tool to guide drawdown of atmospheric CO2 / Margaret E.K. Evans in BioScience, vol 72 n° 3 (March 2022)  

Public [article]  inBioScience > vol 72 n° 3 (March 2022) . - pp 233 - 246 Titre : Adding tree rings to North America's national forest inventories: An essential tool to guide drawdown of atmospheric CO2 Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Margaret E.K. Evans, Auteur ; R. Justin DeRose, Auteur ; Stefan Klesse, Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Kelly A. Heilman, Auteur ; M. Ross Alexander, Auteur ; André Arsenault, Auteur ; Flurin Babst, Auteur ; Mathieu Bouchard, Auteur ; Sean M. P. Cahoon, Auteur ; Elisabeth M. Campbell, Auteur ; Michael Dietze, Auteur ; Louis Duchesne, Auteur ; David Frank, Auteur ; Courtney L. Giebink, Auteur ; Armando Gómez-Guerrero, Auteur ; Genaro Gutiérrez García, Auteur ; Edward H. Hogg, Auteur ; Juha Metsaranta, Auteur ; Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Projets : ARBRE / AgroParisTech (2007 -), LUE / Université de Lorraine Article en page(s) : pp 233 - 246 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] Amérique du nord [Termes IGN] cerne [Termes IGN] dendrochronologie [Termes IGN] dioxyde de carbone [Termes IGN] gaz à effet de serre [Termes IGN] inventaire forestier étranger (données) [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) Tree-ring time series provide long-term, annually resolved information on the growth of trees. When sampled in a systematic context, tree-ring data can be scaled to estimate the forest carbon capture and storage of landscapes, biomes, and—ultimately—the globe. A systematic effort to sample tree rings in national forest inventories would yield unprecedented temporal and spatial resolution of forest carbon dynamics and help resolve key scientific uncertainties, which we highlight in terms of evidence for forest greening (enhanced growth) versus browning (reduced growth, increased mortality). We describe jump-starting a tree-ring collection across the continent of North America, given the commitments of Canada, the United States, and Mexico to visit forest inventory plots, along with existing legacy collections. Failing to do so would be a missed opportunity to help chart an evidence-based path toward meeting national commitments to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions, urgently needed for climate stabilization and repair. Numéro de notice : A2022-031 Affiliation des auteurs : LIF+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1093/biosci/biab119 Date de publication en ligne : 08/12/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biab119 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=99282 [article]

Monitoring climate sensitivity shifts in tree-rings of Eastern Boreal North America using model-data comparison : Shifts in tree growth sensivity to climate / Clémentine Ols in Ecosystems, vol 21 n° 5 (August 2018)  

Public [article]  inEcosystems > vol 21 n° 5 (August 2018) . - pp 1042 - 1057 Titre : Monitoring climate sensitivity shifts in tree-rings of Eastern Boreal North America using model-data comparison : Shifts in tree growth sensivity to climate Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Annika Hofgaard, Auteur ; Yves Bergeron, Auteur ; Igor Drobyshev, Auteur Année de publication : 2018 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Université de Lorraine Article en page(s) : pp 1042 - 1057 Note générale : bibliographie This study was funded by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC Strategic and Discovery Grants), the Nordic Forest Research Cooperation Committee (SNS), the Canadian Forest Service (CFS) and the Research Council of Norway (grant 160022/E50). This work was also supported by a fellowship from the Forest Complexity Modelling program(NSERC Strategic and Discovery Grants). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] Amérique du nord [Termes IGN] analyse de sensibilité [Termes IGN] analyse diachronique [Termes IGN] cerne [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] dendrochronologie [Termes IGN] forêt boréale [Termes IGN] modèle de croissance végétale [Termes IGN] Picea mariana [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) The growth of high-latitude temperature-limited boreal forest ecosystems is projected to become more constrained by soil water availability with continued warming. The purpose of this study was to document ongoing shifts in tree growth sensitivity to the evolving local climate in unmanaged black spruce (Picea mariana (Miller) B.S.P.) forests of eastern boreal North America (49°N–52°N, 58°W–82°W) using a comparative study of field and modeled data. We investigated growth relationships to climate (gridded monthly data) from observed (50 site tree-ring width chronologies) and simulated growth data (stand-level forest growth model) over 1908–2013. No clear strengthening of moisture control over tree growth in recent decades was detected. Despite climate warming, photosynthesis (main driver of the forest growth model) and xylem production (main driver of radial growth) have remained temperature-limited. Analyses revealed, however, a weakening of the influence of growing season temperature on growth during the mid- to late twentieth century in the observed data, particularly in high-latitude (> 51.5°N) mountainous sites. This shift was absent from simulated data, which resulted in clear model-data desynchronization. Thorough investigations revealed that desynchronization was mostly linked to the quality of climate data, with precipitation data being of particular concern. The scarce network of weather stations over eastern boreal North America (> 51.5°N) affects the accuracy of estimated local climate variability and critically limits our ability to detect climate change effects on high-latitude ecosystems, especially at high altitudinal sites. Climate estimates from remote sensing could help address some of these issues in the future. Numéro de notice : A2018-665 Affiliation des auteurs : LIF+Ext (2012-2019) Autre URL associée : Lien vers HAL Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1007/s10021-017-0203-3 Date de publication en ligne : 27/11/2017 En ligne : http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10021-017-0203-3 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=94254 [article]

Post-1980 shifts in the sensitivity of boreal tree growth to North Atlantic Ocean dynamics and seasonal climate / Clémentine Ols in Global and Planetary Change, vol 165 (June 2018)  

Public [article]  inGlobal and Planetary Change > vol 165 (June 2018) . - pp 1 - 12 Titre : Post-1980 shifts in the sensitivity of boreal tree growth to North Atlantic Ocean dynamics and seasonal climate Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; Valérie Trouet, Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Annika Hofgaard, Auteur ; Yves Bergeron, Auteur ; Igor Drobyshev, Auteur Année de publication : 2018 Projets : 3-projet - voir note / Université de Lorraine Article en page(s) : pp 1 - 12 Note générale : bibliographie This study was financed by the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) through the project ‘Naturaldisturbances, forest resilience and forest management: the study case of the northern limit for timber allocation in Quebec in a climate change context’(STPGP 413444-11). Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] analyse de sensibilité [Termes IGN] Atlantique Nord [Termes IGN] cerne [Termes IGN] circulation océanique [Termes IGN] climat froid [Termes IGN] croissance des arbres [Termes IGN] dendrochronologie [Termes IGN] forêt boréale [Termes IGN] inventaire forestier étranger (données) [Termes IGN] océanographie dynamique [Termes IGN] Picea abies [Termes IGN] Picea mariana [Termes IGN] puits de carbone [Termes IGN] Québec (Canada) [Termes IGN] Suède [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) The mid-20th century changes in North Atlantic Ocean dynamics, e.g. slow-down of the Atlantic meridional overturning thermohaline circulation (AMOC), have been considered as early signs of tipping points in the Earth climate system. We hypothesized that these changes have significantly altered boreal forest growth dynamics in northeastern North America (NA) and northern Europe (NE), two areas geographically adjacent to the North Atlantic Ocean. To test our hypothesis, we investigated tree growth responses to seasonal large-scale oceanic and atmospheric indices (the AMOC, North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and Arctic Oscillation (AO)) and climate (temperature and precipitation) from 1950 onwards, both at the regional and local levels. We developed a network of 6876 black spruce (NA) and 14437 Norway spruce (NE) tree-ring width series, extracted from forest inventory databases. Analyses revealed post-1980 shifts from insignificant to significant tree growth responses to summer oceanic and atmospheric dynamics both in NA (negative responses to NAO and AO indices) and NE (positive response to NAO and AMOC indices). The strength and sign of these responses varied, however, through space with stronger responses in western and central boreal Quebec and in central and northern boreal Sweden, and across scales with stronger responses at the regional level than at the local level. Emerging post-1980 associations with North Atlantic Ocean dynamics synchronized with stronger tree growth responses to local seasonal climate, particularly to winter temperatures. Our results suggest that ongoing and future anomalies in oceanic and atmospheric dynamics may impact forest growth and carbon sequestration to a greater extent than previously thought. Cross-scale differences in responses to North Atlantic Ocean dynamics highlight complex interplays in the effects of local climate and ocean-atmosphere dynamics on tree growth processes and advocate for the use of different spatial scales in climate-growth research to better understand factors controlling tree growth. Numéro de notice : A2018-662 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.03.006 Date de publication en ligne : 18/03/2018 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2018.03.006 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=93844 [article]

Strong gradients in forest sensitivity to climate change revealed by dynamics of forest fire cycles in the post Little Ice Age Era / Igor Drobyshev in Journal of geophysical research : Biogeosciences, vol 122 n° 10 (October 2017)  

Public [article]  inJournal of geophysical research : Biogeosciences > vol 122 n° 10 (October 2017) Titre : Strong gradients in forest sensitivity to climate change revealed by dynamics of forest fire cycles in the post Little Ice Age Era Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Igor Drobyshev, Auteur ; Yves Bergeron, Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Sylvie Gauthier, Auteur ; Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; John Ojal, Auteur Année de publication : 2017 Projets : PREREAL / Ali, Ahmed Adam Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] Amérique du nord [Termes IGN] analyse diachronique [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] circulation atmosphérique [Termes IGN] forêt boréale [Termes IGN] forêt tempérée [Termes IGN] incendie de forêt [Termes IGN] Moyen-Age [Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatique Résumé : (auteur) The length of the fire cycle is a critical factor affecting the vegetation cover in boreal and temperate regions. However, its responses to climate change remain poorly understood. We reanalyzed data from earlier studies of forest age structures at the landscape level, in order to map the evolution of regional fire cycles across Eastern North American boreal and temperate forests, following the termination of the Little Ice Age (LIA). We demonstrated a well‐defined spatial pattern of post‐LIA changes in the length of fire cycles toward lower fire activity during the 1800s and 1900s. The western section of Eastern North America (west of 77°W) experienced a decline in fire activity as early as the first half of the 1800s. By contrast, the eastern section showed these declines as late as the early 1900s. During a regionally fire‐prone period of the 1910s–1920s, forests in the western section of Eastern boreal North America burned more than forests in the eastern section. The climate appeared to dominate over vegetation composition and human impacts in shaping the geographical pattern of the post‐LIA change in fire activity. Changes in the atmospheric circulation patterns following the termination of the LIA, specifically changes in Arctic Oscillation and the strengthening of the Continental Polar Trough, were likely drivers of the regional fire dynamics. Numéro de notice : A2017-912 Affiliation des auteurs : LIF+Ext (2012-2019) Autre URL associée : vers HAL Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1002/2017JG003826 Date de publication en ligne : 20/10/2017 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1002/2017JG003826 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=96696 [article]