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Modeling the risk of robbery in the city of Tshwane, South Africa / Nicolas Kemp in Cartography and Geographic Information Science, vol 48 n° 1 (January 2021)  

Public [article]  inCartography and Geographic Information Science > vol 48 n° 1 (January 2021) . - pp 29 - 42 Titre : Modeling the risk of robbery in the city of Tshwane, South Africa Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Nicolas Kemp, Auteur ; Gregory D. Breetzke, Auteur ; Anthony K. Cooper, Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : pp 29 - 42 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] Afrique du sud (état) [Termes IGN] criminalité [Termes IGN] modèle de simulation [Termes IGN] modélisation spatiale [Termes IGN] prévention des risques [Termes IGN] protection civile [Termes IGN] zone à risque Résumé : (auteur) In this study, we model the risk of robbery in the City of Tshwane in South Africa. We use the collective knowledge of two prominent spatial theories of crime (social disorganization theory, and crime pattern theory) to guide the selection of data and employ rudimentary geospatial techniques to create a crude model that identifies the risk of future robbery incidents in the city. The model is validated using actual robbery incidences recorded for the city. Overall the model performs reasonably well with approximately 70% of future robbery incidences accurately identified within a small subset of the overall model. Developing countries such as South Africa are in dire need of crime risk intensity models that are simple, and not data intensive to allocate scarce crime prevention resources in a more optimal fashion. It is anticipated that this model is a first step in this regard. Numéro de notice : A2021-017 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1080/15230406.2020.1814872 Date de publication en ligne : 10/09/2020 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1080/15230406.2020.1814872 Format de la ressource électronique : url article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=96455 [article]

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