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Effects of offsets and outliers on the sea level trend at Antalya 2 tide gauge within the Eastern Mediterranean Sea / Mehmet Emin Ayhan in Marine geodesy, vol 45 n° 4 (July 2022)  

Public [article]  inMarine geodesy > vol 45 n° 4 (July 2022) . - pp 329 - 359 Titre : Effects of offsets and outliers on the sea level trend at Antalya 2 tide gauge within the Eastern Mediterranean Sea Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Mehmet Emin Ayhan, Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Article en page(s) : pp 329 - 359 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] autocorrélation [Termes IGN] compensation [Termes IGN] données marégraphiques [Termes IGN] Méditerranée, mer [Termes IGN] modèle statistique [Termes IGN] niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau moyen des mers [Termes IGN] Turquie [Termes IGN] valeur aberrante [Termes IGN] variation saisonnière [Vedettes matières IGN] Altimétrie Résumé : (auteur) Antalya 2 tide gauge (TG) station is located on the coast of Turkey within the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. Relative sea level trends 6.0 ± 1.5 and 6.44 ± 0.45 mm/year over 1985–2009 at Antalya 2 TG are different from the trend (1.6 ± 1.5 mm/year over 1935–1977) at Antalya TG within 10 km. In order to investigate this trend discrepancy, the monthly mean series at Antalya 2 TG is re-analyzed for offsets, outliers and trend estimation. The Zivot-Andrews method and the Qp outlier test result in one offset at 1994.0417 year with magnitude of 71.24 ± 13.48 mm and nine outliers. The series, corrected for the offset and outliers, de-seasonalized and filled for missed points, is identified as trend-stationary process and analyzed for trend estimation by various models. The optimal model providing the lowest Akaike Information Criteria is polynomial linear trend with multiplicative seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA(2,0)x(1,0)12). The estimated relative sea level trend by the optimal model is 1.77 ± 0.65 mm/year. The large trend discrepancy at Antalya 2 TG is accounted for by one offset primarily (∼71%) and nine outliers (∼3%). Numéro de notice : A2022-516 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article DOI : 10.1080/01490419.2022.2047843 Date de publication en ligne : 11/03/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1080/01490419.2022.2047843 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101064 [article]