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Auteur Jordi Margalef- Marrase |
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Modelling the dynamics of Pinus sylvestris forests after a die-off event under climate change scenarios / Jordi Margalef- Marrase in Science of the total environment, vol 856 n° 2 (January 2023)
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Titre : Modelling the dynamics of Pinus sylvestris forests after a die-off event under climate change scenarios Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Jordi Margalef- Marrase, Auteur ; Roberto Molowny-Horas, Auteur ; Luciana Jaime, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2023 Article en page(s) : n° 159063 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] Catalogne (Espagne)
[Termes IGN] croissance des arbres
[Termes IGN] dépérissement
[Termes IGN] dynamique de la végétation
[Termes IGN] inventaire forestier étranger (données)
[Termes IGN] modélisation de la forêt
[Termes IGN] mortalité
[Termes IGN] Pinus sylvestris
[Termes IGN] résilience écologique
[Termes IGN] structure d'un peuplement forestier
[Termes IGN] surface terrière
[Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatiqueRésumé : (auteur) In recent decades, die-off events in Pinus sylvestris populations have increased. The causes of these phenomena, which are usually related to local and regional extreme hot droughts, have been extensively investigated from a physiological viewpoint. However, the consequences of die-off process in terms of demography and vegetation dynamics have been less thoroughly addressed. Here, we projected P. sylvestris plot dynamics after a die-off event, under climate change scenarios, considering also their early demographic stages (i.e., seedlings, saplings and ingrowth from the sapling to adult class), to assess the resilience of P. sylvestris populations after such events. We used Integral Projection Models (IPMs) to project future plot structure under current climate, and under RCP4.5 and RCP8.0 climate scenarios, using climatic suitability – extracted from Species Distribution Models – as a covariable in the estimations of vital rates over time. Field data feeding IPMs were obtained from two successive surveys, at the end of the die-off event (2013) and four years later (2017), undertaken on populations situated across the P. sylvestris range of distribution in Catalonia (NE Spain). Plots affected by die-off experienced a loss of large trees, which causes that basal area, tree diameter and tree density will remain lower for decades relative to unaffected plots. After the event, this situation is partially counterbalanced in affected plots by a greater increase in basal area and seedling recruitment into tree stage, thus promoting resilience. However, resilience is delayed under the climate-change scenarios with warmer and drier conditions involving additional physiological stress, due to a reduced abundance of seedlings and a smaller plot basal area. The study shows lagged effect of drought-induced die-off events on forest structure, also revealing stabilizing mechanisms, such as recruitment and tree growth release, which enhance resilience. However, these mechanisms would be jeopardized by oncoming regional warming. Numéro de notice : A2023-011 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article DOI : 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159063 Date de publication en ligne : 04/10/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159063 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=102122
in Science of the total environment > vol 856 n° 2 (January 2023) . - n° 159063[article]Canopy self-replacement in Pinus sylvestris rear-edge populations following drought-induced die-off and mortality / Jordi Margalef- Marrase in Forest ecology and management, vol 521 (October-1 2022)
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Titre : Canopy self-replacement in Pinus sylvestris rear-edge populations following drought-induced die-off and mortality Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Jordi Margalef- Marrase, Auteur ; Guillem Bagaria, Auteur ; Francisco Lloret, Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Article en page(s) : n° 120427 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] adaptation (biologie)
[Termes IGN] analyse de données
[Termes IGN] canopée
[Termes IGN] Catalogne (Espagne)
[Termes IGN] changement climatique
[Termes IGN] classification et arbre de régression
[Termes IGN] croissance des arbres
[Termes IGN] dépérissement
[Termes IGN] mortalité
[Termes IGN] Pinus sylvestris
[Termes IGN] Quercus pubescens
[Termes IGN] sécheresse
[Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatiqueRésumé : (auteur) In recent years, Pinus sylvestris die-off and mortality events have occurred across all its range of distribution, usually associated with recurrent droughts induced by climate change. A shift in canopy dominance towards other better adapted co-existing species can be expected, especially in populations located close to their climatic tolerance limits. Herein, we tested, along a local elevational gradient, whether canopy opening resulting from die-off and mortality favours the growth of a non-dominant co-existing tree species (Quercus pubescens) established in the sub-canopy, in comparison to P. sylvestris sub-canopy trees. We also tested whether the growth of both species is associated with local climatic suitability for these species (extracted from SDMs) or, alternatively, with direct measures of micro-climatic variables. Finally, the effect on tree growth of other micro-local factors such as competition, canopy closure and micro-topography was also tested. Sub-canopy tree growth was enhanced overall by canopy opening resulting from P. sylvestris canopy die-off, but this response was stronger in P. sylvestris trees, reinforcing the self-replacement of this species after die-off. This higher growth rate is related to modifications in the micro-local climate (higher temperatures in the wettest quarter). Conversely, Q. pubescens is less sensitive to micro-local climate conditions but it can grow faster than P. sylvestris on stands with no canopy die-off or mortality. In contrast, climatic suitability extracted from SDMs was negatively related to sub-canopy P. sylvestris growth and had no effect on Q. pubescens. These contrasting results support observations at plot scale that P. sylvestris self-replacement is better explained by local environmental conditions than by values of climatic suitability obtained from regional-scale data-sets. Nevertheless, these climatic suitability measures remain consistent with the overall pattern of low seedling recruitment observed in previous works at the rear edge of species' distribution. This study reveals that short-term shifts in species dominance at a local scale will not necessarily occur in the studied P. sylvestris forests following die-off. This finding endorses the notion that micro-local environment and species traits (i.e., light and temperature tolerance, life-history strategies) modulate the capacity for resilience in rear-edge populations that would probably be prone to collapse otherwise. Numéro de notice : A2022-709 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article DOI : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2022.120427 Date de publication en ligne : 21/07/2022 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2022.120427 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=101585
in Forest ecology and management > vol 521 (October-1 2022) . - n° 120427[article]