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The ambiguous sea level rise at Brest’s 212 yearlong record elucidated / Huseyin Baki Iz in Journal of geodetic science, vol 11 n° 1 (January 2021)  

Public [article]  inJournal of geodetic science > vol 11 n° 1 (January 2021) . - pp 95 - 101 Titre : The ambiguous sea level rise at Brest’s 212 yearlong record elucidated Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Huseyin Baki Iz, Auteur ; C.K. Shum, Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : pp 95 - 101 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Géodésie physique [Termes IGN] analyse diachronique [Termes IGN] Brest [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] données marégraphiques [Termes IGN] marégraphe [Termes IGN] montée du niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] série temporelle Résumé : (auteur) The tide gauge record at Brest, France, along Eastern part of Atlantic coast is one of the longest records in Europe spanning 212 years (1807–2019). Analyzing these records has important ramifications in assessing anthropogenic impact of climate change at local and regional scales during this period. All the previous studies that analyzed Brest’s tide gauge record have used vaguely defined quadratics models and did not incorporate the effect of sea level variations at various frequencies, which confounded the presence or absence of a plausible uniform acceleration. Here, we entertained two competing kinematic models; one with a uniform acceleration representing 212 years of monthly averaged tide gauge data, the other is a two-phase trend model (Phase I is 93 years long and Phase II is 119 years long). Both models include statistically significant (α= 0.05) common periodic effects, and sub and super harmonics of luni-solar origin for representing monthly averaged sea level anomalies observed at Brest. The least squares statistics for both models’ solutions cannot distinguish one model over the other, like earlier studies. However, the assessment of Phase I segment of the records disclosed the absence of a statistically significant trend and a uniform acceleration during this period. This outcome eliminates conclusively the occurrence of a uniform acceleration during the entire 212-year data span of the tide gauge record at Brest, favoring the two-phase trend model as a sound alternative. Numéro de notice : A2021-981 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article DOI : 10.1515/jogs-2020-0124 Date de publication en ligne : 20/09/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1515/jogs-2020-0124 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=100978 [article]

Sea level acceleration under the magnifier / Huseyin Baki Iz in Journal of geodetic science, vol 11 n° 1 (January 2021)  

Public [article]  inJournal of geodetic science > vol 11 n° 1 (January 2021) . - pp 7 - 13 Titre : Sea level acceleration under the magnifier Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Huseyin Baki Iz, Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : pp 7 - 13 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Géodésie physique [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] contrôle statistique [Termes IGN] données marégraphiques [Termes IGN] Floride (Etats-Unis) [Termes IGN] montée du niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] positionnement cinématique [Termes IGN] résidu Résumé : (auteur) Detection and quantification of sea level accelerations at tide gauge stations are needed for assessing anthropogenic contributions to the climate change. Nonetheless, uniform or non-uniform sea level accelerations/decelerations are particularly difficult to discern partly because of their small magnitudes and partly because of the low frequency sea level variations as confounders. Moreover, noisy excursions in the observed sea level variations also exacerbate reliability of estimated sea level accelerations. This study explores the uniformity of a sea level acceleration graphically that is left unmodeled in the residuals of a least squares solution using cumulative sum charts. Key West, USA tide gauge station’s record is studied for a demonstration. The cumulative sum charts of the residuals of a rigorous kinematic model solution without the acceleration parameter revealed its crisp and uniform signature experienced at this station since 1913. Numéro de notice : A2021-437 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1515/jogs-2020-0118 Date de publication en ligne : 24/05/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1515/jogs-2020-0118 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=97813 [article]

The certitude of a global sea level acceleration during the satellite altimeter era / Huseyin Baki Iz in Journal of geodetic science, vol 10 n° 1 (January 2020)  

Public [article]  inJournal of geodetic science > vol 10 n° 1 (January 2020) . - pp 29 - 40 Titre : The certitude of a global sea level acceleration during the satellite altimeter era Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Huseyin Baki Iz, Auteur ; C.K. Shum, Auteur Année de publication : 2020 Article en page(s) : pp 29 - 40 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Océanographie [Termes IGN] données altimétriques [Termes IGN] matrice de covariance [Termes IGN] montée du niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau moyen des mers [Termes IGN] positionnement cinématique [Termes IGN] série temporelle Résumé : (auteur) Recent studies reported a uniform global sea level acceleration during the satellite altimetry era (1993–2017) by analyzing globally averaged satellite altimetry measurements. Here, we discuss potential omission errors that were not thoroughly addressed in detecting and estimating the reported global sea level acceleration in these studies. Our analyses results demonstrate that the declared acceleration in recent studies can also be explained equally well by alternative kinematic models based on previously well-established multi-decadal global mean sea level variations of various origins, which suggests prudence before declaring the presence of an accelerating global mean sea level with confidence during the satellite altimetry era. Numéro de notice : A2020-422 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1515/jogs-2020-0101 Date de publication en ligne : 29/05/2020 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1515/jogs-2020-0101 Format de la ressource électronique : url article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=95483 [article]

The effect of regional sea level atmospheric pressure on sea level variations at globally distributed tide gauge stations with long records / Huseyin Baki Iz in Journal of geodetic science, vol 8 n° 1 (January 2018)  

Public [article]  inJournal of geodetic science > vol 8 n° 1 (January 2018) . - pp 55 - 71 Titre : The effect of regional sea level atmospheric pressure on sea level variations at globally distributed tide gauge stations with long records Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Huseyin Baki Iz, Auteur Année de publication : 2018 Article en page(s) : pp 55 - 71 Note générale : Bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Géodésie physique [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] données marégraphiques [Termes IGN] marégraphe [Termes IGN] montée du niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] pression atmosphérique [Termes IGN] série temporelle Résumé : (Auteur) This study provides additional information about the impact of atmospheric pressure on sea level variations. The observed regularity in sea level atmospheric pressure depends mainly on the latitude and verified to be dominantly random closer to the equator. It was demonstrated that almost all the annual and semiannual sea level variations at 27 globally distributed tide gauge stations can be attributed to the regional/local atmospheric forcing as an inverted barometric effect. Statistically significant non-linearities were detected in the regional atmospheric pressure series, which in turn impacted other sea level variations as compounders in tandem with the lunar nodal forcing, generating lunar sub-harmonics with multidecadal periods. It was shown that random component of regional atmospheric pressure tends to cluster at monthly intervals. The clusters are likely to be caused by the intraannual seasonal atmospheric temperature changes,which may also act as random beats in generating sub-harmonics observed in sea level changes as another mechanism. This study also affirmed that there are no statistically significant secular trends in the progression of regional atmospheric pressures, hence there was no contribution to the sea level trends during the 20th century by the atmospheric pressure.Meanwhile, the estimated nonuniform scale factors of the inverted barometer effects suggest that the sea level atmospheric pressure will bias the sea level trends inferred from satellite altimetry measurements if their impact is accounted for as corrections without proper scaling. Numéro de notice : A2018-615 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1515/jogs-2018-0007 Date de publication en ligne : 30/05/2018 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1515/jogs-2018-0007 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=92663 [article]

Acceleration of the global coastal sea level rise during the 20th century re-evaluated / Huseyin Baki Iz in Journal of geodetic science, vol 7 n° 1 (February 2017)  

Public [article]  inJournal of geodetic science > vol 7 n° 1 (February 2017) . - pp 51 - 58 Titre : Acceleration of the global coastal sea level rise during the 20th century re-evaluated Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Huseyin Baki Iz, Auteur Année de publication : 2017 Article en page(s) : pp 51 - 58 Note générale : Bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Géodésie physique [Termes IGN] autocorrélation [Termes IGN] changement climatique [Termes IGN] données marégraphiques [Termes IGN] montée du niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau de la mer [Termes IGN] niveau moyen des mers Résumé : (Auteur) In contrast to some of the recent investigations, this study shows that far less number of tide gauge stations experienced statistically significant accelerations in sea level rise during the 20th century. Twenty-seven tide gauge stations with century long data were analyzed for the presence of an acceleration in global sea level rise using a kinematic model inclusive of a secular trend, acceleration, and compounded periodicities with autocorrelated random effects. Eight out of twenty-seven stations revealed statistically significant but slow sea level rise acceleration (p Numéro de notice : A2017-301 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : POSITIONNEMENT Nature : Article DOI : 10.1515/jogs-2017-0006 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1515/jogs-2017-0006 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=85336 [article]

Polar motion modeling, analysis, and prediction with time dependent harmonic coefficients / Huseyin Baki Iz in Journal of geodesy, vol 82 n° 12 (December 2008)  

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