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Auteur Margaret E.K. Evans |
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Detrending climate data prior to climate–growth analyses in dendroecology: a common best practice? / Clémentine Ols in Dendrochronologia, vol inconnu (2023)
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Titre : Detrending climate data prior to climate–growth analyses in dendroecology: a common best practice? Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; Stefan Klesse, Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Margaret E.K. Evans, Auteur ; R. Justin DeRose, Auteur ; Valérie Trouet, Auteur Année de publication : 2023 Article en page(s) : n° 126094 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] cerne
[Termes IGN] changement climatique
[Termes IGN] croissance végétale
[Termes IGN] dendrochronologie
[Termes IGN] série temporelle
[Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatiqueRésumé : (auteur) Tree growth varies closely with high–frequency climate variability. Since the 1930s detrending climate data prior to comparing them with tree growth data has been shown to better capture tree growth sensitivity to climate. However, in a context of increasingly pronounced trends in climate, this practice remains surprisingly rare in dendroecology. In a review of Dendrochronologia over the 2018-2021 period, we found that less than 20% of dendroecological studies detrended climate data prior to climate-growth analyses. With an illustrative study, we want to remind the dendroecology community that such a procedure is still, if not more than ever, rational and relevant. We investigated the effects of detrending climate data on climate–growth relationships across North America over the 1951–2000 period. We used a network of 2,536 tree individual ring-width series from the Canadian and Western US forest inventories. We compared correlations between tree growth and seasonal climate data (Tmin, Tmax, Prec) both raw and detrended. Detrending approaches included a linear regression, 30-yr and 100-yr cubic smoothing splines. Our results indicate that on average the detrending of climate data increased climate–growth correlations. In addition, we observed that strong trends in climate data translated to higher variability in inferred correlations based on raw vs. detrended climate data. We provide further evidence that our results hold true for the entire spectrum of dendroecological studies using either mean site chronologies and correlations coefficients, or individual tree time series within a mixed-effects model framework where regression coefficients are used more commonly. We show that even without a change in correlation, regression coefficients can change a lot and we tend to underestimate the true climate impact on growth in case of climate variables containing trends. This study demonstrates that treating climate and tree-ring time series “like-for-like” is a necessary procedure to reduce false negatives and positives in dendroecological studies. Concluding, we recommend using the same detrending for climate and tree growth data when tree-ring time series are detrended with splines or similar frequency-based filters. Numéro de notice : A2023-092 Affiliation des auteurs : IGN+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1016/j.dendro.2023.126094 Date de publication en ligne : 05/05/2023 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2023.126094 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=103182
in Dendrochronologia > vol inconnu (2023) . - n° 126094[article]Adding tree rings to North America's national forest inventories: An essential tool to guide drawdown of atmospheric CO2 / Margaret E.K. Evans in BioScience, vol 72 n° 3 (March 2022)
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Titre : Adding tree rings to North America's national forest inventories: An essential tool to guide drawdown of atmospheric CO2 Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Margaret E.K. Evans, Auteur ; R. Justin DeRose, Auteur ; Stefan Klesse, Auteur ; Martin P. Girardin, Auteur ; Kelly A. Heilman, Auteur ; M. Ross Alexander, Auteur ; André Arsenault, Auteur ; Flurin Babst, Auteur ; Mathieu Bouchard, Auteur ; Sean M. P. Cahoon, Auteur ; Elisabeth M. Campbell, Auteur ; Michael Dietze, Auteur ; Louis Duchesne, Auteur ; David Frank, Auteur ; Courtney L. Giebink, Auteur ; Armando Gómez-Guerrero, Auteur ; Genaro Gutiérrez García, Auteur ; Edward H. Hogg, Auteur ; Juha Metsaranta, Auteur ; Clémentine Ols , Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2022 Projets : ARBRE / AgroParisTech (2007 -), LUE / Université de Lorraine Article en page(s) : pp 233 - 246 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] Amérique du nord
[Termes IGN] cerne
[Termes IGN] dendrochronologie
[Termes IGN] dioxyde de carbone
[Termes IGN] gaz à effet de serre
[Termes IGN] inventaire forestier étranger (données)
[Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatiqueRésumé : (auteur) Tree-ring time series provide long-term, annually resolved information on the growth of trees. When sampled in a systematic context, tree-ring data can be scaled to estimate the forest carbon capture and storage of landscapes, biomes, and—ultimately—the globe. A systematic effort to sample tree rings in national forest inventories would yield unprecedented temporal and spatial resolution of forest carbon dynamics and help resolve key scientific uncertainties, which we highlight in terms of evidence for forest greening (enhanced growth) versus browning (reduced growth, increased mortality). We describe jump-starting a tree-ring collection across the continent of North America, given the commitments of Canada, the United States, and Mexico to visit forest inventory plots, along with existing legacy collections. Failing to do so would be a missed opportunity to help chart an evidence-based path toward meeting national commitments to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions, urgently needed for climate stabilization and repair. Numéro de notice : A2022-031 Affiliation des auteurs : LIF+Ext (2020- ) Thématique : FORET Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1093/biosci/biab119 Date de publication en ligne : 08/12/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biab119 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=99282
in BioScience > vol 72 n° 3 (March 2022) . - pp 233 - 246[article]Fusing tree‐ring and forest inventory data to infer influences on tree growth / Margaret E.K. Evans in Ecosphere, vol 8 n° 7 (July 2017)
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Titre : Fusing tree‐ring and forest inventory data to infer influences on tree growth Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Margaret E.K. Evans, Auteur ; Donald A. Falk, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2017 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Termes IGN] changement climatique
[Termes IGN] classification bayesienne
[Termes IGN] croissance des arbres
[Termes IGN] dendrochronologie
[Termes IGN] inférence statistique
[Termes IGN] inventaire forestier étranger (données)
[Termes IGN] modèle statistique
[Termes IGN] montagne
[Termes IGN] Nouveau-Mexique (Etats-Unis)
[Termes IGN] régression multiple
[Vedettes matières IGN] Végétation et changement climatiqueRésumé : (auteur) Better understanding and prediction of tree growth is important because of the many ecosystem services provided by forests and the uncertainty surrounding how forests will respond to anthropogenic climate change. With the ultimate goal of improving models of forest dynamics, here we construct a statistical model that combines complementary data sources, tree‐ring and forest inventory data. A Bayesian hierarchical model was used to gain inference on the effects of many factors on tree growth—individual tree size, climate, biophysical conditions, stand‐level competitive environment, tree‐level canopy status, and forest management treatments—using both diameter at breast height (dbh) and tree‐ring data. The model consists of two multiple regression models, one each for the two data sources, linked via a constant of proportionality between coefficients that are found in parallel in the two regressions. This model was applied to a data set of ~130 increment cores and ~500 repeat measurements of dbh at a single site in the Jemez Mountains of north‐central New Mexico, USA. The tree‐ring data serve as the only source of information on how annual growth responds to climate variation, whereas both data types inform non‐climatic effects on growth. Inferences from the model included positive effects on growth of seasonal precipitation, wetness index, and height ratio, and negative effects of dbh, seasonal temperature, southerly aspect and radiation, and plot basal area. Climatic effects inferred by the model were confirmed by a dendroclimatic analysis. Combining the two data sources substantially reduced uncertainty about non‐climate fixed effects on radial increments. This demonstrates that forest inventory data measured on many trees, combined with tree‐ring data developed for a small number of trees, can be used to quantify and parse multiple influences on absolute tree growth. We highlight the kinds of research questions that can be addressed by combining the high‐resolution information on climate effects contained in tree rings with the rich tree‐ and stand‐level information found in forest inventories, including projection of tree growth under future climate scenarios, carbon accounting, and investigation of management actions aimed at increasing forest resilience. Numéro de notice : A2017-907 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : FORET Nature : Article DOI : 10.1002/ecs2.1889 Date de publication en ligne : 24/07/2017 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1889 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=93405
in Ecosphere > vol 8 n° 7 (July 2017)[article]