Centre dedocumentation
scientifique

Calibration of cellular automata urban growth models from urban genesis onwards - a novel application of Markov chain Monte Carlo approximate Bayesian computation / Jingyan Yu in Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, vol 90 (November 2021)  

Public [article]  inComputers, Environment and Urban Systems > vol 90 (November 2021) . - n° 101689 Titre : Calibration of cellular automata urban growth models from urban genesis onwards - a novel application of Markov chain Monte Carlo approximate Bayesian computation Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Jingyan Yu, Auteur ; Alex Hagen-Zanker, Auteur ; Naratip Santitissadeekorn, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : n° 101689 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] analyse diachronique [Termes IGN] automate cellulaire [Termes IGN] changement d'utilisation du sol [Termes IGN] Corine Land Cover [Termes IGN] croissance urbaine [Termes IGN] estimation bayesienne [Termes IGN] Grande-Bretagne [Termes IGN] méthode de Monte-Carlo par chaînes de Markov [Termes IGN] modèle dynamique Résumé : (auteur) Cellular Automata (CA) models are widely used to study spatial dynamics of urban growth and evolving patterns of land use. One complication across CA approaches is the relatively short period of data available for calibration, providing sparse information on patterns of change and presenting problematic signal-to-noise ratios. To overcome the problem of short-term calibration, this study investigates a novel approach in which the model is calibrated based on the urban morphological patterns that emerge from a simulation starting from urban genesis, i.e., a land cover map completely void of urban land. The application of the model uses the calibrated parameters to simulate urban growth forward in time from a known urban configuration. This approach to calibration is embedded in a new framework for the calibration and validation of a Constrained Cellular Automata (CCA) model of urban growth. The investigated model uses just four parameters to reflect processes of spatial agglomeration and preservation of scarce non-urban land at multiple spatial scales and makes no use of ancillary layers such as zoning, accessibility, and physical suitability. As there are no anchor points that guide urban growth to specific locations, the parameter estimation uses a goodness-of-fit (GOF) measure that compares the built density distribution inspired by the literature on fractal urban form. The model calibration is a novel application of Markov Chain Monte Carlo Approximate Bayesian Computation (MCMC-ABC). This method provides an empirical distribution of parameter values that reflects model uncertainty. The validation uses multiple samples from the estimated parameters to quantify the propagation of model uncertainty to the validation measures. The framework is applied to two UK towns (Oxford and Swindon). The results, including cross-application of parameters, show that the models effectively capture the different urban growth patterns of both towns. For Oxford, the CCA correctly produces the pattern of scattered growth in the periphery, and for Swindon, the pattern of compact, concentric growth. The ability to identify different modes of growth has both a theoretical and practical significance. Existing land use patterns can be an important indicator of future trajectories. Planners can be provided with insight in alternative future trajectories, available decision space, and the cumulative effect of parcel-by-parcel planning decisions. Numéro de notice : A2021-649 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE/URBANISME Nature : Article DOI : 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2021.101689 date de publication en ligne : 12/08/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2021.101689 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=98367 [article]

A cellular-automata model for assessing the sensitivity of the street network to natural terrain / Jeeno Soa George in Annals of GIS, vol 27 n° 3 (July 2021)  

Public [article]  inAnnals of GIS > vol 27 n° 3 (July 2021) . - pp 261 - 272 Titre : A cellular-automata model for assessing the sensitivity of the street network to natural terrain Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Jeeno Soa George, Auteur ; Saikat Kumar Paul, Auteur ; Richa Dhawale, Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : pp 261 - 272 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] analyse de sensibilité [Termes IGN] automate cellulaire [Termes IGN] Caracas [Termes IGN] croissance urbaine [Termes IGN] données spatiotemporelles [Termes IGN] Inde [Termes IGN] Japon [Termes IGN] modélisation spatiale [Termes IGN] morphologie urbaine [Termes IGN] planification urbaine [Termes IGN] réalité de terrain [Termes IGN] réseau routier [Termes IGN] Singapour Résumé : (auteur) Natural and human-made features are not exclusive in settlements but interact across time and space, placing the context in constant evolution. The purpose of this paper is to search for the influence of terrain, a natural feature, on the configuration of the street network, a human-made feature, by analysing the results of two transition states of cellular automata used to model street networks. This work uses data from open-source projects and open-source applications. The first transition state models the street network considering the neighbourhood rules and randomness, assuming the natural terrain and street are exclusive. The second transition state models the street network as the product of characteristics of the terrain, neighbourhood rules, and randomness, thus assuming the natural terrain and street network interacting with one another. The model is run thirteen times for four different cities by varying the terrain characteristics and calibrated by comparing the simulated street maps with recent street maps. The results are compared and found that the CA model with the second transition state yields better simulation results than the first transition state. In one of the four cities studied, the first transition state results are similar to a specific state of the second transition state, indicating a weak inter-connectedness between the terrain and the street network in the mega-city. Further research can reveal whether the amount of inter-connectedness is specific to the city’s terrain or size. The recognition of the inter-connectedness of the road to terrain can help plan for resilient human settlements. Numéro de notice : A2021-628 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE/URBANISME Nature : Article DOI : 10.1080/19475683.2021.1936173 date de publication en ligne : 03/06/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2021.1936173 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=98269 [article]

Cellular automata based land-use change simulation considering spatio-temporal influence heterogeneity of light rail transit construction: A case in Nanjing, China / Jiaming Na in ISPRS International journal of geo-information, vol 10 n° 5 (May 2021)  

Public [article]  inISPRS International journal of geo-information > vol 10 n° 5 (May 2021) . - n° 308 Titre : Cellular automata based land-use change simulation considering spatio-temporal influence heterogeneity of light rail transit construction: A case in Nanjing, China Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Jiaming Na, Auteur ; Jie Zhu, Auteur ; Jiazhu Zheng, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : n° 308 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] automate cellulaire [Termes IGN] changement d'utilisation du sol [Termes IGN] données spatiotemporelles [Termes IGN] hétérogénéité spatiale [Termes IGN] modèle de simulation [Termes IGN] Nankin (Kiangsou) [Termes IGN] réseau ferroviaire [Termes IGN] train [Termes IGN] transport ferroviaire [Termes IGN] transport public Résumé : (auteur) Light rail transit (LRT), an essential urban public transport system in China, significantly reshaped the urban land-use (LU) pattern. Although the LRT impact and land-use change (LUC) analysis plays an essential role in urban planning policy, the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of LRT impacts have not been considered in LUC simulation studies. This study simulates the urban LU change, considering the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of LRT construction impacts on urban LUC. LUC from 1995 to 2005 in Nanjing, China, is chosen as a case study. At first, the distance decay function is employed to verify the quantitative impact of LRT construction on LU change. Accordingly, the variation trends of each LU type during different stages are described in time and space. A cellular automata model incorporated by the generated LRT impact is established and then implemented for simulation. According to model performance assessment results, the proposed model can produce a realistic urban pattern with Freedom of Movement (FoM) exceeding 24% and a significantly lower relative error than the CA simulation without considering LRT influence. Numéro de notice : A2021-390 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 0.3390/ijgi10050308 date de publication en ligne : 06/05/2020 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi10050308 Format de la ressource électronique : URL article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=97675 [article]

Integrating a forward feature selection algorithm, random forest, and cellular automata to extrapolate urban growth in the Tehran-Karaj region of Iran / Hossein Shafizadeh-Moghadam in Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, vol 87 (May 2021)  

Public [article]  inComputers, Environment and Urban Systems > vol 87 (May 2021) . - n° 101595 Titre : Integrating a forward feature selection algorithm, random forest, and cellular automata to extrapolate urban growth in the Tehran-Karaj region of Iran Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Hossein Shafizadeh-Moghadam, Auteur ; Masoud Minaei, Auteur ; Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr, Auteur ; et al., Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : n° 101595 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] automate cellulaire [Termes IGN] classification par forêts aléatoires [Termes IGN] croissance urbaine [Termes IGN] extrapolation [Termes IGN] image Landsat [Termes IGN] modèle de simulation [Termes IGN] occupation du sol [Termes IGN] Téhéran [Termes IGN] utilisation du sol Résumé : (auteur) This paper couples a Forward Feature Selection algorithm with Random Forest (FFS-RF) to create a transition index map, which then guides the spatial allocation for the extrapolation of urban growth using a Cellular Automata model. We used Landsat imagery to generate land cover maps at the years 1998, 2008, and 2018 for the Tehran-Karaj Region (TKR) in Iran. The FFS-RF considered the independent variables of slope, altitude, and distances from urban, crop, greenery, barren, and roads. The FFS-RF revealed temporal non-stationary of drivers from 1998–2008 to 2008–2018. The FFS-RF detected that altitude and distance from greenery were the most important drivers of urban growth during 1998–2008, then distances from crop and barren were the most important drivers during 2008–2018. We used the Total Operating Characteristic to evaluate the transition index maps. Validation during 2008–2018 showed that FFS-RF produced a transition index map that had predictive power no better than an allocation of urban growth near existing urban. Simulation to 2060 extrapolated that Tehran, Karaj, and their adjacent cities will interconnect spatially to form a gigantic city-region. Numéro de notice : A2021-274 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE Nature : Article DOI : 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2021.101595 date de publication en ligne : 16/02/2021 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2021.101595 Format de la ressource électronique : url article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=97357 [article]

Urban growth analysis and simulations using cellular automata and geo-informatics: comparison between Almaty and Astana in Kazakhstan / Aigerim Ilyassova in Geocarto international, vol 36 n° 5 ([15/03/2021])  

Public [article]  inGeocarto international > vol 36 n° 5 [15/03/2021] . - pp 520 - 539 Titre : Urban growth analysis and simulations using cellular automata and geo-informatics: comparison between Almaty and Astana in Kazakhstan Type de document : Article/Communication Auteurs : Aigerim Ilyassova, Auteur ; Lakshmi Kantakumar, Auteur ; Doreen S. Boyd, Auteur Année de publication : 2021 Article en page(s) : pp 520 - 539 Note générale : bibliographie Langues : Anglais (eng) Descripteur : [Vedettes matières IGN] Analyse spatiale [Termes IGN] automate cellulaire [Termes IGN] croissance urbaine [Termes IGN] dynamique spatiale [Termes IGN] étalement urbain [Termes IGN] image Landsat [Termes IGN] Kazakhstan [Termes IGN] modèle de simulation [Termes IGN] modélisation spatiale [Termes IGN] occupation du sol [Termes IGN] planification urbaine [Termes IGN] simulation spatiale [Termes IGN] système d'information géographique Résumé : (auteur) In this research, the SLEUTH urban growth model is calibrated and validated for the first time to post Soviet Union cities. The aim of the study is to monitor, assess, simulate and compare the spatiotemporal urban growth dynamics and spatial patterns of the two largest cities Almaty and Astana using free remote sensing data. The urban expansion metrics and SLEUTH model are used to assess the urban growth dynamics. Though the capital has been moved to Astana from Almaty in 1998, Almaty is still developing faster than Astana. The urban growth simulation results from SLEUTH show Astana will surpass the urban growth of Almaty to emerge as the largest city in Kazakhstan by 2030. Astana may experience more leapfrog and ribbon developments. In Almaty, the urban growth may likely to take place in north and north-west parts. Numéro de notice : A2021-251 Affiliation des auteurs : non IGN Thématique : GEOMATIQUE Nature : Article nature-HAL : ArtAvecCL-RevueIntern DOI : 10.1080/10106049.2019.1618923 date de publication en ligne : 10/06/2019 En ligne : https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2019.1618923 Format de la ressource électronique : url article Permalink : https://documentation.ensg.eu/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=97273 [article]

Réservation

Réserver ce document

Exemplaires (1)

Code-barres	Cote	Support	Localisation	Section	Disponibilité
059-2021051	SL	Revue	Centre de documentation	Revues en salle	Disponible

Coupling fuzzy clustering and cellular automata based on local maxima of development potential to model urban emergence and expansion in economic development zones / Xun Liang in International journal of geographical information science IJGIS, vol 34 n° 10 (October 2020)  

Permalink

Applying multi-temporal Landsat satellite data and Markov-cellular automata to predict forest cover change and forest degradation of sundarban reserve forest, Bangladesh / Mohammad Emran Hasan in Forests, vol 11 n° 9 (September 2020)  

Permalink

Tourism land use simulation for regional tourism planning using POIs and cellular automata / Hong Shi in Transactions in GIS, Vol 24 n° 4 (August 2020)  

Permalink

Simulating urban land use change by integrating a convolutional neural network with vector-based cellular automata / Yaqian Zhai in International journal of geographical information science IJGIS, vol 34 n° 7 (July 2020)  

Permalink

A review of assessment methods for cellular automata models of land-use change and urban growth / Xiaohua Tong in International journal of geographical information science IJGIS, vol 34 n° 5 (May 2020)  

Permalink

Comparison of spatial modelling approaches to simulate urban growth: a case study on Udaipur city, India / Biswajit Mondal in Geocarto international, vol 35 n° 4 ([15/03/2020])  

Permalink

Analysing performance of SLEUTH model calibration using brute force and genetic algorithm–based methods / Ankita Saxena in Geocarto international, vol 35 n° 3 ([01/03/2020])  

Permalink

Land use and land cover change modeling and future potential landscape risk assessment using Markov-CA model and analytical hierarchy process / Biswajit Nath in ISPRS International journal of geo-information, vol 9 n° 2 (February 2020)  

Permalink

A new cellular automata framework of urban growth modeling by incorporating statistical and heuristic methods / Yongjiu Feng in International journal of geographical information science IJGIS, vol 34 n° 1 (January 2020)  

Permalink

Simulation of urban expansion via integrating artificial neural network with Markov chain – cellular automata / Tingting Xu in International journal of geographical information science IJGIS, vol 33 n° 10 (October 2019)  

Permalink